"Artifacts," by Scott G. Ortman

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Table 13. Bayesian Estimates of Pottery Type and Attribute Proportions by Phase, Calculated From the Calibration Dataset

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Pottery Type

Design Attribute

Period

Phase

Slipped, Painted SJ Red Warea

Cortez B/W and Pueblo II White Painted

Mancos B/W

McElmo B/W

Mesa Verde B/W

Pueblo III White Painted

Late White Painted

Line Painted on Rim

Ticked Rim

Xs and/or Zig-Zags Painted on Rim

Undecorated Rim

Corrugated Exterior

Exterior Band Design

Thick and Thin Framing Lines

Dots Between Framing Lines

Mineral Paint

Total Probability for Period

Number of Rims in Calibration Dataset

A.D. 1020–1060

1

.0475

.0714

.6565

.0000

.0000

.0000

.0486

.4240

.0310

.0000

.4817

.0233

.0000

.0000

.0000

.8628

2.647

81

A.D. 1060–1100

2

.0261

.0565

.6075

.0489

.0000

.0000

.2401

.3329

.0268

.0000

.6149

.0200

.0000

.0000

.0000

.7346

2.708

464

A.D. 1100–1140

3

.0077

.0532

.5934

.0933

.0000

.0200

.1663

.2614

.1163

.0000

.5835

.0289

.0000

.0161

.0000

.5288

2.469

1,030

A.D. 1140–1180

4

.0055

.0426

.5187

.1877

.0545

.0555

.0594

.2414

.1478

.0000

.5520

.0501

.0161

.0539

.0179

.5111

2.514

204

A.D. 1180–1225

5

.0000

.0000

.0573

.2947

.2403

.2604

.1369

.0336

.4517

.0272

.3675

.0169

.0433

.2125

.0511

.3343

2.528

387

A.D. 1225–1260

6

.0000

.0000

.0161

.1648

.4527

.3157

.0512

.0121

.4865

.0501

.3490

.0090

.1337

.3971

.0387

.1519

2.629

520

A.D. 1260–1280

7

.0000

.0000

.0127

.1204

.4291

.3771

.0544

.0000

.4590

.0851

.3560

.0000

.1880

.3510

.0494

.1631

2.645

1,397

NOTE: The estimates assume that a type or attribute does not appear until it constitutes 2 percent of the assemblage and does not disappear until after it falls below 1 percent.

SJ = San Juan; B/W = Black-on-white.

aThis category consists of Deadmans Black-on-red and Indeterminate Local Red Painted with slip.

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